Well, the long awaited (or dreaded if you're an ECAC media type) is here. The last game before the playoffs. Time to figure out just where everyone will end up. It means calculating the tiebreakers and all of that fun stuff. So here we go. Much thanks to Harvard SID Casey Hart for sending along where every team can finish. I believe (and hope) that I've covered every scenario but if I missed one, feel free to leave a comment or email email@example.com.
EDIT: Looks like I missed a few ties- well, didn't miss but didn't explain what a tie would do. And missed a few others. Now looking at collegehockeystats.net info for the fill-ins. Will italicize what is an edit. (2:33 am)
Union: Currently in 1st place (16-3-2) - CLINCHED BYE
1st place: Union clinches first place with a win. They also clinch first place if they tie and Yale loses or ties. They can also clinch first place if they lose but Yale also loses.
2nd place: Union finishes in second place with a loss and a Yale tie or win (if Yale ties and Union loses, Dartmouth and Princeton are the top four and Yale wins the tiebreaker on record vs. Top 4). They also finish second with a tie and a Yale win (Yale wins tiebreaker on league wins).
Yale: Currently in 2nd place (16-4-1) - CLINCHED BYE
1sr place: Yale will win the Cleary Cup if they get a win and Union ties or loses. They also win the Cleary Cup with a tie and a Union loss.
2nd place: A Union win, if both Union and Yale tie, or if Yale loses, they get second place.
Dartmouth: Currently in 3rd place (12-7-2) - CLINCHED BYE
3rd place: Clinches third place with a win or a tie. They also clinch third if they lose but Cornell does not beat Yale. Even a Princeton win (which would tie them points-wise with Dartmouth if the Big Green lost) is immaterial because Dartmouth holds the tiebreaker.
4th place: Dartmouth will finish fourth if they lose to Clarkson and Cornell beats Yale.
Cornell: Currently in 4th place (11-8-2) - CLINCHED HOME ICE
3rd place: Cornell will move up to third place if they win and Dartmouth loses (Cornell holds the head-to-head tiebreaker).
4th place: Cornell will get the final bye if they win but Dartmouth also wins or ties (Cornell holds the tiebreaker vs. Princeton in record vs. Top 4). If Cornell ties, they need a Princeton tie or loss (Cornell holds the head-to-head tiebreaker vs. RPI). If Cornell loses, they need a Princeton loss and an RPI tie or loss.
5th place: If Cornell loses and RPI wins and Princeton loses, Cornell will be 5th place. If Cornell loses and Princeton wins or ties, Cornell will be 5th place with a tie or loss by RPI.
6th place: If Cornell loses and RPI and Princeton both win (or if Princeton ties), Cornell will be 6th place.
Princeton: Currently in 5th place (11-8-2) - CLINCHED HOME ICE
4th place: Princeton will jump up to the last bye spot with a win and a Cornell loss or tie. They also move up to 4th with a tie, a Cornell loss and an RPI loss or tie.
5th place: Princeton will take 5th place with a win and a Cornell win. They also take 5th place if they tie and Cornell wins or ties and RPI ties or loses OR if Cornell loses but RPI wins. Finally, they can take 5th with a loss and an RPI loss.
6th place: Princeton will drop to 6th place with a loss and an RPI tie or win.They will also be sixth with a tie, a Cornell win or tie, and an RPI win.
RPI: Currently in 6th place (11-9-1) - CLINCHED HOME ICE
4th place: RPI takes the last bye spot with a win and a Cornell loss plus a Princeton tie or loss.
5th place: 'Tute claims 5th place with a win and a Cornell win or tie plus a Princeton tie or loss OR a Princeton win and a Cornell loss. Can also take 5th place with a tie and a Princeton loss.
6th place: The Engineers take 6th place with a loss. They also finish in 6th with wins by both Cornell (or a tie by Cornell) and Princeton regardless of own result. A tie plus a Princeton win or tie also results in a 6th place finish.
Still with me? Congrats, because I barely am. Bottom six teams below the jump.
Quinnipiac: Currently in 7th place (6-9-6)
7th place: Quinnipiac will take seventh place with a win. Can also take seventh place with a tie and a Clarkson tie or loss. Can also be seventh with a loss and a loss by Clarkson as long as Brown ties or loses.
8th place: The Bobcats will take eighth place with a tie and a Clarkson win. Can also take 8th place with a loss if Clarkson wins or ties as long as Brown ties or loses. Quinnipiac would also be eighth with a loss, a Clarkson loss and a Brown win.
9th place: Quinnipiac will finish in ninth place if they lose and both Clarkson and Brown wins (or if Clarkson ties and Brown wins).
Clarkson: Currently in 8th place (8-12-1)
7th place: Clarkson will move up to seventh place with a win plus a loss or tie by Quinnipiac. Can also move up to seventh with a tie as long as Quinnipiac loses (Clarkson holds the head to head record with Brown, so a tie between the two teams breaks Clarkson's way.)
8th place: The Knights will stay in eighth place with a win and a Quinnipiac win OR a tie and a Quinnipiac win or tie. They will also stay in eighth with a loss if Brown ties or loses.
9th place: Clarkson can fall to ninth place with a loss as well as a win by Brown.
Brown: Currently in 9th place (7-12-2)
7th place: Brown can jump into seventh place with a win and losses by both Quinnipiac and Clarkson.
8th place: The Bears can move up into eighth place with a win and a loss by Quinnipiac OR a loss by Clarkson.
9th place: Brown will stay in ninth place if both Clarkson and Quinnipiac get at least a point. A tie or loss will also leave Brown in ninth place.
Harvard: Currently in 10th place (6-14-1) - GUARANTEED ROAD SERIES
10th place: A Harvard win or tie will put them into tenth place (as they will hold the head to head tiebreaker over St. Lawrence).
11th place: A loss to St. Lawrence will put the Crimson in eleventh place.
St. Lawrence: Currently in 11th place (6-14-1) - GUARANTEED ROAD SERIES
10th place: A win will put the Saints into tenth place.
11th place: A loss or tie against Harvard will keep St. Lawrence in eleventh place.
Colgate: Currently in 12th place (4-14-3) - GUARANTEED ROAD SERIES
12th place: The easiest team to do, Colgate is guaranteed last place. Even if they tie Harvard or St. Lawrence in points, Colgate loses the first tiebreaker to St. Lawrence (0-2 head to head) and lose the second tiebreaker, league wins, to Harvard (4 to 6).